Monthly Archives: February 2012

There is not a glut of homes on the market; there is a glut of over-priced homes on the market

The KCM Blog hit the nail on the head. “There is not a vacuum of buyers in the market. There is a vacuum of homes a buyer in today’s market will purchase. ……There are plenty of buyers in the market for a home they consider priced correctly. You have to decide what the correct price is for your home if you truly want to sell. If you want your house sold, you must list it at a price a buyer will pay for it. Not a buyer from 2006 but today’s buyer who has plenty of homes from which to choose.”

Many homes on today's market are overpriced or they would be sold already.

As I have said again and again, home and condos will sell if priced to the current market.  Most are over-priced.

There is not a glut of homes on the market; there is a glut of over-priced homes on the market

The KCM Blog hit the nail on the head.  “There is not a vacuum of buyers in the market. There is a vacuum of homes a buyer in today’s market will purchase. ……There are plenty of buyers in the market for a home they consider priced correctly. You have to decide what the correct price is for your home if you truly want to sell. If you want your house sold, you must list it at a price a buyer will pay for it. Not a buyer from 2006 but today’s buyer who has plenty of homes from which to choose.” 

As I have said again and again, home and condos will sell if priced to the current market.  Most are over-priced.

Federal Government to Sell Foreclosures to Investors as Rentals

I have previously argued in favor of estimates that 10% of the U.S. population–comprising 33 million people–will shift over the long term from owner occupied to rental housing.  The reasons include massive student loans burdening the generation most likely to buy, damaged credit, and shifting values, as well as a return to historical norms.  To accomplish this shift, not only will apartment-style condos become rentals but so will many single family homes.

The federal

Foreclosure auction signs

Foreclosure auction signs (Photo credit: niallkennedy)

government is starting to shed foreclosed, single-family
homes it owns — by selling them in bulk to investors, who would
turn them into rental properties.  Officials, however, are saying
only that test sales will occur “in the near-term” with a focus
on the areas hardest hit by foreclosures. They declined to
comment beyond a news release they issued.  The test comes after
the government in summer 2011 asked for proposals on what to do
with more than 90,000 foreclosed properties it then held. The
government typically sells foreclosed properties one at a time,
but officials specifically asked for ways to move homes in bulk
because of the size of the backlog.  About 4,000 groups or
individuals submitted ideas on how the government could unload
the properties. After The Enquirer filed a Freedom of Information
Act request, the government released a list of 423 companies,
groups and individuals that submitted responsive proposals, but
no details on their proposals.

To qualify, investors will have to show the financial wherewithal
to buy the assets, sufficient experience and knowledge to bear
the risks and manage of the investment and agree to “keep certain
information about the REO (real estate) and related matters
confidential.”  Nationwide, the 83,000 homes currently up for
sale and potential conversion into rental units are among more
than 200,000 foreclosures of all kinds that the government holds,
apparently making it the nation’s largest owner of foreclosed
properties. The 200,000 is almost a third of foreclosed
properties across the nation.  Moving the backlog would get them
off the books of the Federal Housing Administration. It also
would clear the books of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which buy
mortgages, bundle them and then sell mortgage-backed securities
to investors.  The FHA, Fannie and Freddie became owners of the
properties as hundreds of thousands of owners defaulted on their
mortgages during the real estate meltdown.  Clearing the backlog
would limit the loss to taxpayers, who already have bailed out
Fannie and Freddie at a cost of $169 billion and counting. The
losses are expected to total $220 billion to $311 billion by the
end of 2014, according to latest projections in December by the
Federal Housing Finance Agency.

Deal to Provide Foreclosure Relief Near

JPMorgan Chase Tower (Dallas)

Image via Wikipedia

The nation’s few remaining large banks and the state and federal governments moved closer to a deal that ultimately may provide financial relief to homeowners facing foreclosure and those foreclosed upon.  The banks — led by the five biggest mortgage servicers, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial–may pay $25 billion into a fund for mortgage relief to settle the so-called “robo-signing” scandal.  Calling it “robo-signing” understates the serious of the crimes of which the bank staff are accused.  Each false sworn affidavit, of which there were thousands, and possibly into the millions, likely constitutes a felony.  Needless to say, the accused are anxious to pay what it takes to avoid a possible harsher penalty and the governments are anxious to avoid an enormously cumbersome prosecution.  The upshot may be some relief for stressed homeowners and those who have lost their homes.  (Needless to say, the foregoing is an opinion, not a legal analysis.)

With a deadline looming today for state officials to sign onto a landmark multibillion-dollar settlement to address foreclosure abuses, the Obama administration is close to winning support from crucial states that would significantly expand the breadth of the deal. The biggest remaining holdout, California, has returned to the negotiating table after a four-month absence, a change of heart that could increase the pot for mortgage relief nationwide to $25 billion from $19 billion. Another important potential backer, Attorney General Eric T. Schneiderman of New York, has also signaled that he sees progress on provisions that prevented him from supporting it in the past. The potential support from California and New York comes in exchange for tightening provisions of the settlement to preserve the right to investigate past misdeeds by the banks, and stepping up oversight to ensure that the financial institutions live up to the deal and distribute the money to the hardest-hit homeowners. The settlement would require banks to provide billions of dollars in aid to homeowners who have lost their homes to foreclosure or who are still at risk, after years of failed attempts by the White House and other government officials to alter the behavior of the biggest banks. The banks — led by the five biggest mortgage servicers, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial — want to settle an investigation into abuses set off in 2010 by evidence that they foreclosed on borrowers with only a cursory examination of the relevant documents, a practice known as robo-signing. Four million families have lost their homes to foreclosure since the beginning of 2007. If banks fall short of the multibillion-dollar benchmarks set out for principal reduction and other benefits for homeowners, they will have to pay the difference plus a penalty of up to 40% directly to the federal government, according to Mr. Madigan. The settlement, if all states participate, will also include $3 billion to lower the rates of mortgage holders who are current. Banks will get more credit for reducing principal owed and helping families keep their homes, and less for short sales or taking losses on loans that were likely to go bad, like those that were severely delinquent.